Back to Blog

The Effect of Trump’s Tariffs on Canadian Real Estate

March 16, 2025

Canada’s real estate sector has continually been affected by both domestic and international economic as well as political factorsAn underlying factor, amongst many that influenced the Canadian real estate sector within the recent years, is that of former United States President Donald Trump instituting tariffs

Of particular effectthese were implemented on steel, aluminum, as well as lumber. Broad repercussions were brought forth on building material costs, affordable housingas well as broader investment across Canada’s real estate industry.

The Impact of Tariffs on the Construction Cost

One of the most real-world implications of Trump’s tariffs was that they resulted in an increase in the construction cost of materials. The United States imposed a 25% tariff and 10% tariff on imports of steel and aluminum from Canada in 2018, which increased the expense of acquiring these essential commodities for builders

This resulted in the following:

  • The construction cost of new homes and business developments went through the ceiling.
  • Homebuilders were compelled to pass these extra costs on to consumersand this led to higher home prices.
  • The projects were delayed and exceeded budget due to rising material prices.
  • The Lumber Dispute and Housing Affordability

The United States had long been imposing duties on Canadian softwood lumber on the grounds that Canada was subsidizing its market unfairlyThe tariffs were increased by Trump’s administration, which had a tremendous effect on Canadian homebuilders and the housing industry as a whole

The principal effects were:

  • Higher costs of wooden framing and wood buildings in house construction.
  • Higher costs of houseswhich render housing beyond the reach of homebuyers.
  • Slower construction of new homes due to higher costs, which reduce supply in a tight market.

Foreign Investment Trends and Market Sentiment

Trumps trade and economic policies and the uncertainty that followed also indirectly influenced foreign investment in Canadian real estate. Foreign investors viewed Canada as a secure alternative to the U.S. during the uncertainty, thus the increase in:

  • Overseas demand for commercial and residential property in cities like Toronto and Vancouver.
  • Overseas demandagain driving up the price of property.
  • Some investors hesitant to invest due to uncertainty in U.S.-Canada trade relations.
  • The Resilience of the Canadian Market

Despite these difficulties, the Canadian housing market was resilientFederal and provincial governments instituted policies to address affordability concerns, including:

  • Incentives for first-time buyers.
  • Increased focus on local production of lumber to minimize reliance on U.S. imports.
  • Strategic investment in infrastructure to mitigate rising costs.

Trumps tariffs had a profound effect on Canadian real estate, increasing construction costs, affecting the affordability of housing, and shifting foreign investment patterns. While some of those effects have been relaxing under the new trade agreements and policy overhauls, the long-term message is clear: Canadian real estate is incredibly sensitive to international economic policy and will continue to need to make adjustments to forces beyond its control.

As international trade policies changethe real estate market in Canada will have to remain nimble and responsive to keep the market stable and growing.

Request Price List